Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.310465 3.872800 4.471209 5.152295 5.902860 6.701726 7.613217
2024-10-27 2.407725 3.160491 4.023087 5.071232 6.296961 7.672110 9.318364
2024-11-03 1.889706 2.761134 3.828496 5.199753 6.882423 8.849015 11.289451
2024-11-10 1.496588 2.427472 3.641660 5.281574 7.379108 9.915360 13.155351
2024-11-17 1.136905 2.061130 3.347391 5.172238 7.599695 10.627849 14.597869
2024-11-24 0.857340 1.746316 3.067349 5.032555 7.743791 11.222550 15.888936
2024-12-01 0.669336 1.528220 2.886194 4.994850 7.998196 11.945336 17.342211
2024-12-08 0.516210 1.330668 2.702942 4.925403 8.188306 12.573325 18.674588
2024-12-15 0.449509 1.272705 2.727255 5.155469 8.797118 13.766899 20.764303
2024-12-22 0.362978 1.153922 2.633218 5.190703 9.119398 14.573099 22.352376
2024-12-29 0.325864 1.129337 2.695028 5.468968 9.800815 15.883773 24.636353
2025-01-05 0.286084 1.088425 2.720822 5.686299 10.394457 17.081901 26.786999
2025-01-12 0.235321 1.009247 2.670490 5.780844 10.816499 18.065259 28.689676
2025-01-19 0.176882 0.888732 2.523848 5.699990 10.963303 18.659413 30.069980
2025-01-26 0.147215 0.838290 2.509109 5.842866 11.459995 19.764581 32.176451
2025-02-02 0.118926 0.779740 2.468255 5.933301 11.872290 20.751699 34.130405
2025-02-09 0.084431 0.679534 2.320407 5.815455 11.940213 21.229728 35.370621
2025-02-16 0.056822 0.583554 2.163512 5.664155 11.940856 21.600780 36.458101
2025-02-23 0.039950 0.519331 2.069822 5.623374 12.118438 22.235695 37.928435
2025-03-02 0.026407 0.455589 1.964181 5.547993 12.230140 22.768131 39.254270
2025-03-09 0.022830 0.451904 2.018097 5.797948 12.906659 24.176890 41.873160
2025-03-16 0.016040 0.414419 1.971610 5.836217 13.214616 25.020242 43.674379
2025-03-23 0.014454 0.419693 2.048941 6.138089 13.992068 26.604238 46.582225